CFB – Week 8 – POTW

Thursday 10/17/2013

4:30PM – The U -8.5 vs. UNC.  UNC after so many returning starters have actually taken a step back.  Renner outstanding last year looks lost this year.  He’s questionable again this week with a bad hammy.  I’m not sure what’s worse having him with a bad hammy in or the back up QB.  The U football has made a huge step this year and should roll by 2+ TD’s.

Saturday 10/19/2012

Morning Games

9:21AM – Florida -3 vs. Mizzou.  I thought Florida would still win this game because of their defense but with Mizzou’s stud QB Franklin out, all hope went down the shitter like my picks last week.  Florida stayed close last week against a great LSU team because of their physical defense.  Although UF offense isn’t what it used to be, the defense will do enough to win.  I see a 2 TD victory.

11:00AM – Wyoming -7 vs. CSU.  Wyoming rolled last year and this year QB  Smith is looking better than ever.  Wyoming screwed us week 5 against Texas St. but they get another chance at redemption here.  WY offense within the top 10 of the country, hard to see them not winning by at least a TD here.

Afternoon Games

12:30PM – Buffalo -20.5 vs. UMass.  UMass just can’t score.  They’re averaging just over 7ppg.  The only reason they have been covering is because their competition stoops to their level and takes a dump.  Buffalo much improved from last year and the offense moves the ball.  Buffalo will score and they will score often.  30+ points victory.

12:30PM – UCLA +6.5 vs. Stanford.  Stanford NOT playing well at all.  They struggled with Washington at home and were exposed by Utah last week.  Allowing 300+ yards on D.  Hundley is improved from last year and will take revenge this year.  Bruins in a SU win by a TD.

4:00PM – Alabama -28 vs. Arkansas.  Bama is still continuing to do their thing.  They’re shakey against the spread this year but they ROLLED Ark Last year 52-0.  Granted it isn’t the same team but Ark is looking as crappy as ever.  Bama defense too much.  Maybe they’ll score a TD maybe not.  Tide only allowing TD since the Texas A&M game, RIDICULOUS.

 

For those of you that are asking about Scoregon.  I like them, I liked them for first and and whole game but WSU is improved.  When I say improved I’m not saying good.   When your program is shit and at rock bottom there’s only one way to go and that’s up.  WSU has covered the last 3 meeting all with huge spreads such as this.  I still do think that the Black Mamba and Mariota will get it done but bet at your own risk.

I apologize for last week, that was HORRIBLE.  I guess that’s why I don’t get paid for my opinions lol.  Let’s right the ship this week.  Good luck everyone and once again thanks for reading.

74 comments on “CFB – Week 8 – POTW

  1. tom says:

    Thanks for your picks. How do you see tonights NFL.. LIKEING SEATTLE

  2. Mas says:

    Eh Won, I’m with you on those same picks since Monday morning… Adding IOWA +17 & LSU -8 if mattenberg-ler plays.

    GOOD LUCK BOYZ….

    • wonpercent says:

      I like that lsu game a lot. But Oh st was hard for me to bet against. They’ve been covering every week. I just had to limit my games after the last few weeks lol

  3. Mas says:

    Gotcha, smart thing to do. Im gonna stay grounded also, got $ome to make up.

    Cant see Seattle not locking them down and finally scoring 30 or better.

    They blew’m out at home, got beat season opener last year with rookie QB first start (i can understand that) ….Looking for a dominant Seattle division game here….Arizona isn’t half as bad as INDY to play at.

    GL

    MIAMI SHUT OUT TONIGHT – looking forward to it.

  4. j. says:

    Thursday night degeneration time!

  5. Mas says:

    Yeah OK…. Spot NC a Safety, CB, WR and the Duke. Lob up 2 INT’s in scoring position.
    Vegas should burn!
    They probably told Dorsett to start crying too…..

  6. G funk says:

    Fade alert!!!! Why did you have to pick Gators 😦 arrrgh, so wish u would be loving Mizzou..I would feel more comfy with my pick…..

    • wonpercent says:

      Lol! You’re pick might be good! I’ve looked like crap last week and yesterday.

      • G funk says:

        No, the problem is I like the Gators too, which you like…That’s the scary part. haha….We all go on bad runs….Its a crap shoot at best even with the best handicapping etc…systems, and trends,,It comes down to being lucky no matter how much u think it doesn’t..I know there will be those out there that insist its a skill, but the experts make the lines, and we are behind to start with the Vig, so its tuff just to tread water, but its the thrill of chasing the profit…Keep it fun..

      • wonpercent says:

        Lol! We’ll see what happens already a bad start after the U lost half their team and 80% of the offense.

    • Mas says:

      MIZZ can def be riding high off that win last week but they beat a seriously banged up UGA and played pee wee colleges past 5 games. FLORIDA has long list of bruises too.

      Hard to know if Franklin is playing, they say a player is out then he mysteriously comes out of the tunnel charging.
      I bet against MIZZ thinking he’s not gonna play. It’s a messed up gig.

      Easier to bet trying to make extra 500$ a week instead of going for the 2’gs a week.
      Put 400 on the U, 150 for 1st half…. Lost
      Went small 100 on BoSox, Seattle 2nd half and under 33 2nd half the U game. I feel like a crazy crapper betting to much at the table.

      Theirs like a dozen GUYS here – post your picks maybe we can squeeze out 4 votes for locks. Lol GL

      • wonpercent says:

        Yea, the U just flat out looked depleted on D. Horrendous DB play the whole game. This mizzou game Jackson is out for sure for 4-6 week. Florida Is boasting the #1 defense in the country. Is take my chances without Jackson there. To make your first collegiate stsrt against the #1 defense in Cfb. Good luck.

      • Mas says:

        They didn’t even touch Ebron at the line.
        He chewed them up

  7. Mas says:

    Has anyone seen UCF play?
    I’ve seen UL here and think their horrible.

    Don’t know what UCF looks like.
    Kinda liking the +14, only going by what I’ve seen from UL and reading the sales pitches for UCF.
    Espn is the master of deception I realized past 3 weeks. Casinos n books must pay them big bucks. They have educated manipulators talking. Just wanted to throw that out as a heads up for you guys.
    They sold Miami perfect all week

  8. Mas says:

    I feel like the publicity for this bettors game is tryn to sell UCF.
    I don’t get them in NY – never seem them play.

  9. Mas says:

    Going over for UL game.
    Louie D is looking really strong coming off a run down tired RUTGERS.

    They’ll go at it tonight being both QB’s are 1st and 2nd in conference.

    Looking for Bortels to beat that bug.

  10. Mas says:

    Eh WON, you feelin ok ???

  11. j. says:

    Good call on the over Mas. Louisville just imploded like a house of cards….lol. BOL to you gentlemen today.

  12. petey says:

    officially done taking your picks now… your picks are just going down hill since last week…

  13. j. says:

    Looks like a bad morning. I’ll be on Duke and Maryland this afternoon. Any one else?

  14. j. says:

    Maryland let me down again, but Duke came through. Lost some juice there. I’m on Wisky tonight or else be drowning in Whiskey. Either way…lol

  15. G funk says:

    Week 8 disaster part Deux!!.I’m gonna give u the Bama W, and chaulk it up as a 2-4 week…Gross, the sad part was I should of just bet the Mizzou tigers and chaulk up the juice as my loss, but no. I stuck with it, dumb me…Have you tallyed up you record for this season?? I know you had some winning weeks , Just curious what ur record is this season?

  16. G funk says:

    i c,,if you’re going to do this for realz you need to do money managment and monitor your bets from season to season to see if you are really “winning”. You need to substract the juice as well…If you go to handicapper.net he does that , monitors his bets and only bets first 8 weeks of college football, He keeps it real…Just saying..Maybe u dont want to keep this serious and just want to keep it entertaining, which is prob what it should be anyhow…

  17. G funk says:

    haha, if you were charging you would be out of business,,lol….. People who buy pics are fools…Just my opinion.. —Not to offend anyone, coming from a fool myself

  18. Mas says:

    Guys, i got yous next week….. I killed it afternoon took my account even and went 6-0 at night being up 800$(should be up 2g’s but same as craps play, when i get hit hard i play with scared money) ill try n paste a copy from my account as proof.
    I responded to jay and My post didnt post i was driving and had to sign in so i just closed the ipad….sorry my bad.
    Anyway, had a 150$ if win or tie on BOSOX over 7(got 1 win) had Bama 1st,2nd and full for 120$ each(lovely), those Baylor Beasts same, got me a 4 game parlay for 40$ NIU, STANFORD, IOWA and the mighty FSU, i saw line shoot to 51/2 on FSU and played 1st,2nd and full game(lovely), ended the night playing 1st half on ASU night cap woke up and banged 150$….
    That thursday game set me back a nickle and ill throw out my NFL’s in a little while maybe i can help go up a 1300$ this week.

    But instead of just taking picks from here and pressure on WON, i wish more of yous would post your thoughts on the games and games you like also. I read the COVERS forum and it sucks, i get mad. I came here to discuss with others – for i am a lonely gambler and i dont let my friends know my biz with this gig, i just need to keep getting 900$ a week for a better life. It pays my payroll taxes weekly. Lol

  19. Mas says:

    Correction, i liked ASU didnt play cause had to see 3:30 outcomes, i had night cap with oregon st and now im curious if the ducks covered – gotta check….
    If its any help heres what i like for the NFL….
    Ducks didnt cover…. – stayed away cant take opposition anyway.

    Dont wanna take up much space here but i have to.

    Going with those COWBOYS, they should be laying 7 and i think they are a good team all around and big talented guys on OFFENSE. dont see a high scoring game because its week 7, eagles have to show some kind of D ay this point, new QB may have mental pressure thinking he has to have a shoot out to keep up with boys and forcing plays… It may help the boys…. I ask your thoughts???

    CHARGERS arent gonna show mercy here, SD gunslinger gonna get some practice today…. I think they’ll score 30 and give 10/17 points up.

    I’ll take a Bengal over a lazy lion any day. Battle of the cats, unless it was the Detroit Lioness’ – i have respect for them girls they’re great providers.

    I’ll side with a TITAN rather than a 9er in Battle. KAP isnt any better than Matt Scrub – ive seen him play. How they went to the SB with him ill never know…. He’ll learn a few things from FITZ and the Titan D today.

    Cheese Heads arent losing twice to that division. PACKERS i think big at home.. Unless they manipulate the line which i doubt.

    Read a lot of Houston goers thinking they’ll redeem themselves here with a good performance- I think NOT…..imagine tomorrows headlines in KC if they lose this game…not a chance – they are in perfect position to dominate and scare the heck out of that new QB. kinda feeln sorry for them already. Espn is selling HOUSTON highlights and talk of what an impeccable college career this bug had, but your in an undefeated KC STADIUM – that my friends is never easy.
    People are saying KC hasnt played anyone – are you nuts??? Look again, OAK, DALLAS, TENN are easy??? Yeah ok try and make a guy from Bensonhurst Believe that..

    Last – the BRONCOS, ALL THE WAY…. forget the revenge BS their selling, All those rich guys will be shaking hands and they are friends, manning still has business interests there – believe me… Manning has a job with a new team thats doing great, thats all it is – they all know that in INDY, and yes just like the Gladiator ” you win the crowd you win your freedom”, they know that too….

    Lmk what you guys think. 7 games – leave cincy out and we got 6 of 13 that can be bet.
    Need to minimize to 4 locks for $100 parlay, Havent hit one yet in NFL.

  20. j. says:

    Mas, thanks for the nfl insight. I was on the plus side for the season until the last 2 weeks. Just so happens that I’ve been working OT the last few weekends as well so I haven’t had any time to play close enough attn to the games. Wasting OT money….lol.

    I don’t do so well on NFL, but I’ll add my 2 cents on a couple of your games.

    Packers at home have been money. Something about the stinky cheese that have them covering consistently.

    The Cowboys have been showing me of the Mr Hyde side which is a good thing. Playing confident with some bravado, especially at home. I like them in this situation.

    Last, the Texans are going backwards. Nothing is going right for them and playing in KC isn’t the place for them to find their mojo.

    Just my perspective. BOL to all.

  21. j. says:

    Mas…hope you found your 4 teamer. Nice calls on the Cowboys and Chargers. You’re halfway there! LOL

  22. Mas says:

    All alive boys. Got 2 – 4 team parlays… Chargers, boys, cincy waiting on KC (50$ nice 500$) the other i hedged with Tenn instead of KC FOR 100 bucks.

    Got a big one now – GB, KC AND DENVER (200 for 1062)
    Straight uppers did good – happy this week.

    Not afraid to be courageous when im up – i hedge everything when im up lol….

    We talk middle of week.
    Gl

  23. Mas says:

    Had no clue QB was out for Tenn…. So hard for one guy to check everything and not slip.
    I can biff myself but it wont do any good.
    From all i see – its always the small groups of 4 or 5 people that earn good steady cash flow from sports betting.

    • j. says:

      Those were all good plays u had. Kicking myself in the asscheeks that I wasn’t able to put any plays in the afternoon. oh well….there’s always next week! Lol

  24. Arron_t says:

    Under-Over on the Sunday Night game tonight boys?

  25. G funk says:

    I made no bets this sunday but if i Had, I probably would have done real bad…I liked Detroit, Miami, TB, and some others,,,,definitely would of been in the negative….Addition but stagnation

  26. mike says:

    damn wyoming really killed me…wtf happened

    • wonpercent says:

      Lol man. I’m wondering wtf happened to my bank account the last 2 weeks. I’m thinking of taking the week off and re-evaluating the situation hahha. That Wyoming game was just inexplicable. Given the fact I like favorites. And it’s been shake down say today 2 weeks in a row. It’s gotta change this week right? Haha.

  27. tom says:

    Who does everyone like tonight>> Liking the VIKES plus pints

    • wonpercent says:

      Well for the 2nd week in a row I like the G-Men to right the ship. With that being said take Minnesota +3! Lol! Lets go!

    • j. says:

      This is a tough call. The Vikings are going to start Freeman so he’ll be the x factor. I expect him to dump short passes and use his mobility as he gets used to the system. AP will have to carry the team once again. On the flipside, the giants will have to run the ball to avoid having manning end up on his ass or risk him throwing some ints.

      I’m not usually keen on totals, but I think it will end up being a ball control game. UNDER would be my play.

      I’m sitting this one out though. So BOL. Maybe Mas well chime in.

      • j. says:

        Ah….I’m a degenerate so I may throw some coin on the Vikes only cuz I think their defense well have the upper hand tonight.

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